The Miami Marlins and New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action at Citi Field. The Miami Marlins look for a win after winning 7 of their last 9 games. The New York Mets need a win after splitting their last 10 games.
The Miami Marlins have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Marlins have won 8 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Garrett Cooper leads the Marlins with 81 hits and 40 RBI, while Jesus Aguilar and Miguel Rojas have combined for 133 hits and 56 RBI. Braxton Garrett gets the ball, and he is 1-3 with a 4.25 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. Garrett is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Mets.
The New York Mets have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Mets have won 12 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the Mets with 87 hits and 40 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil have combined for 166 hits and 104 RBI. Carlos Carrasco gets the ball, and he is 9-4 with a 4.64 ERA and 89 strikeouts this season. Carrasco is 3-0 with a 2.51 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.
The Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 Saturday games and 6-2 in their last 8 overall. The Mets are 16-5 in their last 21 home games and 4-1 in their last 5 overall. The under is 6-2-1 in Marlins last 9 overall. The over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 Saturday games. The Marlins are 9-27 in the last 36 meetings in New York and 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Not the best pitching matchup in the world, and I’m not thrilled to get behind Braxton Garrett, but he has been better on the road than at home where he has a 3.74 ERA. Carlos Carrasco has also been shaky all year, which includes allowing 42 hits and 22 runs in his last 35.1 innings. The Miami Marlins are simply playing the better baseball overall at the moment, and they keep finding ways to win these close games. I’ll take a shot with the road dog here.
Randy Chambers’s Free Pick:
Miami Marlins +154